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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-104/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Rhamondre Stevenson has picked up 51.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among RBs (78th percentile).

The Miami defensive tackles profile as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

At the present time, the 7th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (37.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New England Patriots.

Given the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 27.12 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo out of all the games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (35.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (56.6% in games he has played).

More Rhamondre Stevenson Player Props

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