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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's ground efficiency has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 4.81 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.86 mark last season.
  • With an impressive record of 3.83 yards after contact (95th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson stands among the most efficient running backs in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the least run-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 35.9% run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been a less important option in his offense's run game this year (36.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (57.5%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).
  • This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers run defense has conceded a puny 107.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-fewest in the league.

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