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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Patriots, who are a massive favorite by 13 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run on 46.7% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • This year, the feeble Jets run defense has conceded a staggering 136.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The New York Jets safeties profile as the 29th-worst group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (37.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (57.5%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's ground efficiency (3.79 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (17th percentile among running backs).

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