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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-295).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +215 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +198.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

The New England Patriots O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Rhamondre Stevenson has run for 0.36 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (82nd percentile).

The New England Patriots have incorporated some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots rank as the 3rd-least run-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 3.3% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 60.3 plays per game.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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