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Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-200).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Rhamondre Stevenson has run a route on 47.6% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.The Patriots offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.Rhamondre Stevenson's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 85.1% to 88.7%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.The model projects the Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.48 seconds per snap.Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.1%) versus RBs this year (75.1%).
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