My Account Log Out
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+101/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This week, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.0 targets.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 17.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 12.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 125.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (77.0%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™