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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

Rhamondre Stevenson has run a route on 48.0% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Miami defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 27.12 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo out of all the games this week.

The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the stout Dolphins defense has given up a meager 75.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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