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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+123/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +136 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • The predictive model expects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.3 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 88th percentile for RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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