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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-141/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -141.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 15.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for RBs.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 9th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the model to run just 61.8 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.
  • The Bills pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.5%) versus RBs this year (77.5%).

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