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Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Rhamondre Stevenson has run a route on 47.6% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.Rhamondre Stevenson has accumulated a massive 5.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).The Patriots offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.Rhamondre Stevenson grades out as one of the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an outstanding 16.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.The model projects the Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.48 seconds per snap.Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.Rhamondre Stevenson's talent in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.15 figure last year.
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