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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 136.5 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has posted significantly more air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (-3.0 per game).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 17.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 80th percentile for running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 56.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a measly 54.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a noteworthy decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 6.2% mark.

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