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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This week, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.0 targets.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (-3.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 125.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a substantial drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 6.2% mark.
  • This year, the formidable Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered a meager 13.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-fewest in football.

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