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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

Rhamondre Stevenson has run a route on 48.0% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (35.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 27.12 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo out of all the games this week.

Rhamondre Stevenson has put up a measly -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 15th percentile among RBs.

The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

With a poor 4.8 adjusted yards per target (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks among the bottom pass-catching RBs in football.

Rhamondre Stevenson grades out as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 3rd percentile.

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