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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • After accumulating -3.0 air yards per game last year, Rhamondre Stevenson has gotten better this year, now sitting at 10.0 per game.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 15.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for RBs.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • With an exceptional 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (79th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson places among the top pass-game RBs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the model to run just 61.8 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a remarkable reduction in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.2% rate.
  • This year, the strong Bills defense has allowed a measly 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 3rd-best in football.
  • This year, the formidable Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a puny 4.9 yards.

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