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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • This week, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by the model to rank in the 76th percentile among running backs with 3.1 targets.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has accrued far more air yards this year (10.0 per game) than he did last year (-3.0 per game).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for RBs.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a substantial decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 6.2% rate.

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