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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Last year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a staggering 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-highest rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's unit has been dreadful last year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be much less involved in his team's pass attack in this week's contest (4.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (9.2% in games he has played).

Rhamondre Stevenson has accrued a mere -3.0 air yards per game last year: a lowly 8th percentile among RBs.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

With a lackluster 4.8 adjusted yards per target (14th percentile) last year, Rhamondre Stevenson has been as one of the weakest pass-game running backs in the NFL.

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