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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to total 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson profiles as one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging a stellar 22.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 8.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a remarkable progression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.5% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 12.1% Target Rate this year shows a material decrease in his pass game workload over last year's 17.3% mark.
  • The New England offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 28.0) to RBs this year.
  • The Commanders pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. running backs this year, surrendering 5.38 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in the league.

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