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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 5.6 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been much more involved in his team's pass game this year (16.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.3%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has accrued many more receiving yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (9.0).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 81.8% to 88.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, notching just 5.96 yards-per-target vs a 6.92 rate last year.

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