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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 3.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

Rhamondre Stevenson has been much more involved in his team's pass game this year (12.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (5.3%).

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Rhamondre Stevenson has posted a lot more receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (9.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

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