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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 136.5 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive tackles project as the worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 37.1% run rate.
  • The 8th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a measly 54.4 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • After accounting for 57.5% of his team's run game usage last season, Rhamondre Stevenson has played a smaller part in the ground game this season, currently making up just 31.9%.

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