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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami defensive tackles profile as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New England Patriots have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • At the present time, the 7th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (37.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New England Patriots.
  • Given the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 27.12 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (35.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (56.6% in games he has played).

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