Rhamondre Stevenson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 13.1 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 52.4% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Patriots rank as the 7th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.4% run rate.
The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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