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Ray-Ray McCloud

Ray-Ray McCloud Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Ray-Ray McCloud Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+580/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Since the start of last season, the shaky Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a whopping 1.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 10th-worst rate in the league.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's unit has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the best in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 54.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to be the 5th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 48.0% red zone run rate.
  • The Falcons offense has played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.43 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Commanders, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Ray-Ray McCloud's 24.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 32.5.

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