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Ray-Ray McCloud

Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Washington Commanders cornerbacks project as the worst CB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 54.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Falcons offense has played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.43 seconds per play.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Commanders, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

Ray-Ray McCloud has been much less involved in his team's air attack this season (10.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (15.8%).

Ray-Ray McCloud's 1.3 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a significant regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 3.6 mark.

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