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Rashod Bateman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Rashod Bateman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-430).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -540 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -430.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Rashod Bateman has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.0% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.

This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has been gouged for a massive 1.14 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts: the 5th-worst rate in football.

This year, the daunting Patriots run defense has allowed a paltry 0.50 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.7% red zone run rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.

More Rashod Bateman Player Props

Rashod Bateman TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Rashod Bateman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16