Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Rashod Bateman

NFL · Player Props

Rashod Bateman

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 2:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 1.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The projections expect the Ravens to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Rashod Bateman has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 15.4% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
Rashod Bateman ranks in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers since the start of last season with a remarkable 22.2% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
With an outstanding 7.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Rashod Bateman rates among the leading WRs in the NFL in football in space.

Favors Under

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.7% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Pittsburgh's unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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