Rashod Bateman Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Rashod Bateman

NFL · Player Props

Rashod Bateman

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Rashod Bateman Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-420).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to be a more important option in his team's air attack near the goal line this week (13.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Rashod Bateman has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (79.0 per game) than he did last season (52.0 per game).
Rashod Bateman's 50.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 36.2.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Rashod Bateman grades out in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.50 per game.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
Rashod Bateman's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 71.5% to 49.5%.

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