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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-310).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -345 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -310.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 62.9% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the league in these situations has been the New Orleans Saints.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Saints are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Rashid Shaheed has earned 6.2% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th when it comes to wide receivers).
  • Rashid Shaheed has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (121.0 per game).
  • Rashid Shaheed's 43.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 72.0.
  • This year, the fierce New York Giants defense has conceded a puny 67.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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