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Rashid Shaheed Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-415).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -415.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Rashid Shaheed's 64.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a significant growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 46.9% mark.This year, the poor Falcons defense has given up a massive 1.08 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-highest rate in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Seahawks are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 54.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.At the present time, the most run-centric offense in football in the red zone (52.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.1 per game) this year.
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