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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -335 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 67.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a noteworthy boost in his receiving ability over last year's 46.9% figure.
  • This year, the fierce Rams run defense has surrendered a measly 0.33 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The predictive model expects Rashid Shaheed to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest (15.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (21.1% in games he has played).
  • Rashid Shaheed has accrued far fewer air yards this year (74.0 per game) than he did last year (121.0 per game).
  • Rashid Shaheed's 52.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 72.0.

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