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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • Rashid Shaheed's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 46.9% to 66.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 50.5% red zone run rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Rashid Shaheed to be a much smaller part of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this game (12.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (19.4% in games he has played).
  • Rashid Shaheed has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (83.0 per game) than he did last year (121.0 per game).

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