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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Rashid Shaheed is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 83rd percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.
  • The Saints offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 49.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 72.0.
  • This year, the tough Buccaneers defense has surrendered a measly 61.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-smallest rate in football.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

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