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Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+101/-129).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +101.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.With a fantastic 3.4 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Rashid Shaheed has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL in football.Rashid Shaheed's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 46.9% to 65.3%.As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Indianapolis's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 13-point advantage, the Seahawks are a massive favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see only 126.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.Rashid Shaheed's 18.7% Target% this year illustrates an impressive decrease in his pass attack workload over last year's 24.8% figure.
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