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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-111/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Rashid Shaheed is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 83rd percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.
  • The Saints offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • After accruing 121.0 air yards per game last year, Rashid Shaheed has been a disappointment this year, now averaging 74.0 per game.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 49.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 72.0.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a significant decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 5.0% mark.
  • This year, the tough Buccaneers defense has surrendered a measly 61.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-smallest rate in football.

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