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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 140.1 plays on offense run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a remarkable improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 46.9% figure.
  • The Bears pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 8.80 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Saints to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • Rashid Shaheed has been a less important option in his team's passing game this season (18.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (24.8%).
  • Rashid Shaheed has posted far fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (121.0 per game).

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