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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Saints offensive gameplan to tilt 2.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a giant -14.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 61.7% of their chances: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 135.5 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The model projects Rashid Shaheed to total 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 17.4% Target Share this season shows a remarkable reduction in his passing attack volume over last season's 24.8% mark.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 33.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 46.0 rate.
  • Rashid Shaheed's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 5.0% mark.

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