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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Saints, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Saints to pass on 59.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to air yards, Rashid Shaheed ranks in the towering 100th percentile among wideouts last year, averaging a monstrous 121.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects Rashid Shaheed to be much less involved in his offense's passing game in this contest (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (24.8% in games he has played).
  • The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Rashid Shaheed ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 46.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 16th percentile among wideouts
  • Last year, the strong Cardinals defense has allowed a meager 126.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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