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Rasheen Ali

Rasheen Ali Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Rasheen Ali Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-2200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the predictive model to call 66.6 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The New York Jets defense has surrendered the 2nd-most receiving touchdowns in the league to running backs: 0.40 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.4% red zone run rate.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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