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Rashee Rice

Rashee Rice Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Rashee Rice Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+104/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.2% red zone pass rate.
  • The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • With an exceptional 37.5% Red Zone Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 125.1 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.7 per game) this year.
  • The Chiefs are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Rashee Rice has been given 10.0% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th when it comes to wide receivers).
  • This year, the feeble Buffalo Bills run defense has been gouged for a whopping 1.43 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-largest rate in football.

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