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Rashee Rice

Rashee Rice Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Rashee Rice Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +146 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects Rashee Rice to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest (20.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been last year (11.8% in games he has played).
  • Rashee Rice's 55.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 89th percentile for WRs.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 12-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the weak Las Vegas Raiders run defense has been gouged for a whopping 1.33 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

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