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Rashee Rice

Rashee Rice Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Rashee Rice Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.3% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (63.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are predicted by the projections to run only 64.1 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Chiefs are willing to include receivers in their ground game, and Rashee Rice has been given 9.5% of red zone carries this year (0th when it comes to wideouts).
  • While Rashee Rice has received 37.5% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Kansas City's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 27.6%.
  • Rashee Rice's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 81.1% to 74.7%.

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