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Rashee Rice

Rashee Rice Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Rashee Rice Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Rashee Rice, who has received 10.5% of his offense's carries near the end zone this year (100th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a WR) of being involved in the Kansas City Chiefs red zone running game.
  • While Rashee Rice has been responsible for 33.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's offense near the end zone in this week's game at 28.0%.
  • Rashee Rice's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 81.1% to 77.7%.
  • With an outstanding ratio of 0.17 rushing touchdowns per game (100th percentile), Rashee Rice rates among the leading rushing TD-scorers in football among WRs and TEs since the start of last season.

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