Rashee Rice Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Rashee Rice

NFL · Player Props

Rashee Rice

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Rashee Rice Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (+103/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 75.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
In this week's contest, Rashee Rice is predicted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.
With an impressive 25.7% Target% (91st percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
Rashee Rice's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 81.1% to 74.7%.
Rashee Rice's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, notching a measly 8.60 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.80 mark last season.
Rashee Rice's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.96 figure last season.

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