|
|
Rashee Rice Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-140/+110).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Right now, the most pass-heavy team in football (69.3% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.With a stellar 74.8% Adjusted Catch% (81st percentile) this year, Rashee Rice stands as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among WRs.The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.5%) to WRs this year (79.5%).The Broncos pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 10.27 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of LBs has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The Chiefs are a heavy 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) typically mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased run volume.Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Broncos, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.4 per game) this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
