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Randall Cobb

Randall Cobb Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Randall Cobb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+294/-517).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Randall Cobb has put up many more air yards this season (45.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).

Randall Cobb's 31.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 22.8.

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Randall Cobb's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 74.8% to 77.8%.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.9%) versus wide receivers this year (70.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

The Chicago Bears safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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