Randall Cobb Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving TD

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+294/-517).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Randall Cobb has put up many more air yards this season (45.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).
Randall Cobb's 31.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 22.8.
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Randall Cobb's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 74.8% to 77.8%.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.9%) versus wide receivers this year (70.9%).

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
The Chicago Bears safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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