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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+790/-980).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1050 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +790.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • Raheem Mostert grades out in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs this year with a whopping 0.4% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
  • Raheem Mostert grades out as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, completing a stellar 91.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.
  • With a lousy ratio of only 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (1st percentile), Raheem Mostert places among the worst rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • Raheem Mostert has been not been very involved his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 3rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Raheem Mostert does not have any receiving TDs this year.

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