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The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.Our trusted projections expect Raheem Mostert to be a much smaller part of his offense's ground game near the goal line this week (13.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (28.6% in games he has played).Raheem Mostert has accrued a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile among running backs. (This may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
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