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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-950).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +950 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +570.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 60.4% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Raheem Mostert's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 91.3% to 100.0%.
  • Raheem Mostert has not rushed for any TDs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Raheem Mostert has not caught any touchdowns this year.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-most touchdowns in football (1.27 per game) against the Giants defense this year.

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