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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2000/-2400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a giant -14-point underdog this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (60.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Raiders.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Raheem Mostert's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a noteable gain in his pass-catching talent over last year's 91.2% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • With a feeble 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Raheem Mostert places among the pass-catching running backs with the smallest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
  • The Raiders O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Raheem Mostert does not have any receiving TDs this year.

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