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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2000/-2900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.
  • At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • The Raiders have been the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Raheem Mostert's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 91.1% to 100.0%.
  • The rushing touchdown field reads "0" on Raheem Mostert's stats page this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being projected in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • Raheem Mostert has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Raheem Mostert has posted a feeble -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 25th percentile when it comes to running backs.

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